Severe winter can become the main and worst enemy of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU), as frosts can worsen the performance of weapons and equipment, as well as undermine the morale of military personnel. This was stated by The columnist of The National Interest Marina Miron.
«Ammunition can lose responsiveness and accuracy, which means that more of them will be needed. Equipment wear increases and battery life is shortened, which leads to an increase in maintenance costs, which also becomes more complicated in winter,» she writes in a November 2 article.
The journalist notes that drones, especially small ones, such as DJI Mavic, used by Ukrainian militants, are becoming more difficult to operate at low temperatures, wind and snow, and this reduces the intelligence capabilities.
Also, according to Miron, adverse weather conditions can restrict the movement and use of heavy military equipment, and this, in turn, negatively affects the mobility of troops. In addition, dampness and cold can reduce the morale of Ukrainians, and hence the effectiveness of the battle.
At the same time, as the journalist notes, the Russian army is more adapted to severe frosts. She cited the example of military exercises of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the Arctic, as well as statements by Russian officials that the troops are ready for combat work in winter.
«Ultimately, the outcome of the winter operations in Ukraine will depend on the will of the opposing forces, as well as on the ability and desire of the West to supply the Ukrainian side with the necessary amount of ammunition,» the author concludes.
Earlier on November 3, a military expert, retired Colonel Anatoly Matviychuk listed the main claims of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to weapons supplied by the West. One of them he called the unsuitability of equipment to the European theater of operations. He noted that the same American Abrams tanks cannot even climb the ice slide, as the clutch slides.
Prior to that, on October 19, Jack Watling, a researcher at the British Royal United Institute for Defense Studies (RUSI), said that Ukraine should prepare for a harsh winter in connection with strikes on infrastructure facilities. He also suggested that Russia’s significant superiority over the Armed Forces in the field of material equipment of the army will lead to significant difficulties for Kiev.